Coronaios: Mortality Rate Launched – Why Cases and Deaths Are Not Reduced

The country remains in an “extremely fragile state” due to the coronavirus, as the four-digit number of daily cases returned after a small decline over the weekend.

At the same time, the high number of deaths in our country remains unwavering, reaching 100 again in 24 hours, with the mortality rate having risen dangerously in the second wave of the pandemic, ranking the country at the top of this sad list.

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It is now a given that the epidemic wave is escalating dramatically slowly, despite the fact that we are in the sixth week of lockdown.

The resilience of citizens, the health system and the economy is still being tested, as today’s numbers have returned to daily levels at all levels, except for the number of intubated patients, which remains stable but alarmingly high.

For scientists, only the vaccine gives real hope. However, according to the models they have in their hands, if the epidemic wave continues to evolve in the next period of time as it does now, then the number of intubated people may have dropped to 300 (from 550 now).

Experts estimate that it will take another week to see a drop in cases, however the number remains high as today it once again exceeded 1,000.

And while there are some early signs of stabilization in new intubated patients, this does not seem to be the case with deaths, which persist high, 80-100 per day.

It is indicative of the fact that while 62 deaths were announced yesterday, today the number has increased again to 98.

Mortality rate launch

The launch of the mortality rate in our country during the second wave, which reaches 3.1%, causes intense concern and concern.

The vertical increase of this index is also evidenced by the CDC chart that shows Greece in second place in terms of mortality index, approaching Belgium.

According to the chart, the mortality rate in our country until December 14, 2020 was 2.9%, while in Belgium it has reached 3%.

Sweden, Portugal and the Netherlands follow, with the latter having a 1.6% positivity index, a percentage that we had before the “arrival” of the second wave in our country.

In fact, Greece has almost twice the mortality rate compared to other European countries, such as France, Italy and Britain.

Three deaths per 1,000 cases – Comparison with other countries

According to an exclusive publication of in.gr, between October 15 and December 3, our country recorded 100,587 cases and 3,143 deaths, which means a ratio of 31 deaths per 1000 cases (3.1 dead in 100 diagnoses) which is one of largest in Europe.

In Spain this number is 17 per 1000 institutions, in France 17, in Italy 19 and in Great Britain 18. Something that is attributed to the domestic infection of elderly people living with relatives, to the burden of the health system despite the efforts of doctors and nursing staff and for other reasons.

It is indicative that Germany counts in the same period 989,667 cases with 12,596 deaths, ie about 1.5% mortality compared to cases.

Belgium, which also had a huge number of cases this time (424,455), has mourned 7,624 deaths at a rate of 18 deaths per 1,000 cases. This proportion in Portugal is 12 dead in 1000 bodies.

What is the reason for the increase in the mortality rate?

The sad record in the mortality rate causes terror but also many questions, reheating the discussion for a large underdiagnosis of cases, due to the few tests performed, as well as for untimely and incomplete treatment due to the pressure on the NSS and of course the severe shortages. mainly in the hospitals of the Region.

These reasons in combination with the absence of organized primary health care largely explain -according to experts- the negative development in the mortality rate.

An interesting observation is made by iatronet.gr, pointing out that it does not appear that the increased mortality rate is at least strongly linked to the fact that Greece is one of the oldest countries in Europe.

He adds that comparing countries with high mortality rates does not show a strong correlation between the two factors, as countries with young populations such as northern Macedonia, Romania and Poland figure in the top places in mortality, as opposed to older countries such as Germany. and Portugal or even Belgium (which has been accused by Amnesty International of being indifferent to older structures) are at much lower rankings.

On the contrary, he notes, there is a very strong correlation between the high mortality rate on cases and the comparative ranking of European countries based on the diagnostic tests they perform.

The price for a third age and NSS is heavy

The pressure that the system has received in the last 45 days, which has led to the request of private clinics, as well as the transfer of patients to other hospitals than those who were treated, but also to the rapid development of new ICUs, proves how hard the coronavirus hit our country during the second wave, with the virus being twice as aggressive as the first wave.

Indicative of the pressure exerted on the NSS last month is that patients with coronavirus in Northern Greece were intubated even outside the ICU in other areas of hospitals, especially in surgeries and resuscitation rooms.

Another shocking figure for the deaths comes from their geographical distribution, according to which about 70% of deaths due to coronavirus have been recorded in hospitals in Macedonia and Thrace, showing how the epidemic wave “swept” northern Greece and 30% in hospitals in Attica.

In any case, the heavy price is paid by the “third age” in our country, paid by the elderly over 65 years.

According to the data of today’s epidemiological report of the National Organization of Public Health (EODY), the average age of death is 79 years.

Of course, it is known that the coronavirus “scans” young people and people of working age, leaving behind thousands of new covid-19 infections, but the biggest impact seems to be in the age group, in those aged 65 and over, where they are recorded. most deaths.

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